ATP World Tour Finals odds and free guess: Djokovic the man to beat in London
Novak Djokovic picked up the final of his 5 ATP World Tour Finals titles back in 2015 however after hitting some unimaginable form in the build-up to the season-ending showpiece, becomes the reliable favorite for the trophy
Conditions suit Djokovic
The world No 2 has loved real success in indoor occasions and picked up a fifth Paris Masters crown last weekend. Much has been made from the very fact he’ll come up towards Roger Federer in the first spherical after the pair were drawn collectively in the Bjorn Borg Group however the Swiss maestro will probably provide his only actual challenge in the round-robin stage.
Dominic Thiem and debutant Matteo Berrettini complete the pool and it is tough to see either progressing past the primary round.
Thiem is the world No 5 and has picked up some important outcomes on onerous courts, including the Indian Wells crown this yr, but remains a clay-court specialist and has by no means certified for the semi-finals in three makes an attempt at the ATP World Tour Finals. The Serb leads his profession head-to-head with Thiem 6-3 and has received all of their meetings on hardcourts.
Berrettini and Djokovic have by no means faced one another so there is a component of the unknown, though the Italian has only managed 5 profession wins over players ranked within the high 10 and has never overwhelmed anyone ranked larger than No 5.
Djokovic is the 11/10 favorite to win the occasion with Paddy Power and even at that quick value looks the most effective bet in the outright market. Federer is a six-time champion but his last success got here in 2011. However, the 20-time grand-slam winner ought to a minimal of be in a position to qualify from the Bjorn Borg Group and is subsequent within the general betting at 7/2.
Finals success stays elusive for Nadal
Rafael Nadal is again on prime of the world rankings and added two extra majors to his collection this season by claiming a twelfth French Open crown and the US Open.
The Spaniard is 5/1 to say the ATP World Tour Finals title – the biggest prize still lacking from his jam-packed trophy cabinet. There are a quantity of causes to avoid Nadal in the betting though: for one he isn’t a pure indoor or hard-court player like Djokovic and Federer and there are additionally harm considerations as he was forced to pull out of the Paris Masters with an abdominal problem.
In all probability, he will be capable of take to the court docket in London but whether or not the issue has been fully resolved remains to be seen and he has been drawn in the tricky-looking Andre Agassi Group.
Defending champion Alexander Zverev and rising stars Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas join Nadal within the round-robin stage in what appears to be the more competitive aspect of the draw.
Zverev has struggled for kind in current months, with an look in the Shanghai Masters ultimate the one highlight in a tricky interval, and like Nadal should most likely be avoided even if his outright worth of 14/1 does look tempting.
Medvedev stands out among three debutants
Medvedev, Berrettini and Tsitsipas are all making their first appearances within the season-ending finale and if any of those younger stars are to spring an upset the Russian appears to be the most likely contender.
The world No 4 took Nadal to five sets within the US Open final earlier this 12 months, his first look in a grand-slam showpiece, and is aware of how to handle huge occasions. Medvedev has claimed four titles this 12 months, together with his first Masters one thousand crowns in Cincinnati and Shanghai, and arrives in London in fine kind having picked up 10 straight wins with out dropping a set previous to a shock defeat to residence hopeful Jeremy Chardy in the Paris Masters.
The 23-year-old has by no means overwhelmed Nadal or Federer and that may be a concern, but he has claimed two wins in five makes an attempt against Djokovic and appears a contender to win the ATP World Tour Finals at 4/1.